9 · Risks
A table, not prose
Chapter 9 · Generic
At least five risks. Each response must be something already done or already scheduled. Readers trust plans that name their risks. Guide: the full plan §9.
Draft
The generic five from the guide. Each row gets rewritten once the chapters it depends on are decided.
| Risk | Likelihood | Impact | What we do | Done or scheduled? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory misses delivery by six weeks or more | Likely | Pre-order customers waiting; refunds | Buffer in the promised window, weekly updates, refund policy written | — |
| Fit problem found after bulk | Possible | 30%+ returns | Five pairs wear-tested across sizes before bulk release | — |
| Duty rate higher than modelled | Possible | Margin falls 5–10 points | Broker classification before shipping; price set with headroom | — |
| Only 50% of the run sells in year one | Possible | Cash tied up in boxes | Pessimistic scenario funded; private sale to the list, never a public markdown | — |
| Trademark opposition | Unlikely | Rename | Cleared search before filing; no boxes printed before filing | — |
| A risk specific to you |
Decisions
None until Chapters 2–8 are settled. Then each row gets a real mitigation and a date.
Questions for you
- What worries you most about this project, honestly?
- What happens to the project if you need to stop for three months, for exams, a job, or a move?